Maximizing ROI in CTV: PGAM’s AI-Driven Attribution Models

Connected TV (CTV) has become one of the fastest-growing channels in digital advertising—but measuring its performance has long been a challenge. Unlike traditional display or search ads, where clicks and conversions are directly tracked, CTV operates in a different environment: full-screen video, shared household devices, and no obvious point of interaction.

To truly maximize return on investment (ROI) in CTV, advertisers need more than surface-level metrics like completion rates or impressions served. They need a deeper understanding of what’s driving outcomes—whether that’s app installs, purchases, or site visits—and they need it in real time.

At PGAM Media, we’ve developed advanced attribution models powered by AI and real-time analytics to close the loop between ad exposure and real-world performance.

Why Attribution is Complex in CTV

CTV doesn’t operate in a browser, so cookies and click-based attribution are off the table. Additionally, a single device is often used by multiple people in a household, making it difficult to tie exposure to a specific user. These limitations can lead to blind spots in measurement—and make it hard for advertisers to justify or optimize their spend.

That’s why CTV requires a new approach to attribution—one that blends device-level data, household identity graphs, and predictive analytics to infer outcomes accurately and responsibly.

Real-Time Attribution, Powered by AI

PGAM’s attribution models are built to solve for CTV’s complexity. Our system ingests impression-level data, cross-device signals, and first-party conversions to determine which CTV exposures led to specific actions.

Using machine learning, we’re able to detect high-probability attribution paths. For instance, if a viewer sees an ad on a smart TV and later visits a brand’s website via mobile or makes a purchase on a connected device, our system can link those events—even without a direct click.

This allows us to track more than just ad views. We measure how impressions influence downstream behavior, so advertisers can allocate budget toward placements that actually drive results.

Closed-Loop Measurement

A major advantage of PGAM’s attribution model is its closed-loop design. That means we don’t just report on what happened—we track full audience paths, from exposure to action.

Our platform offers:

  • Incrementality Measurement – Identifying lift driven by CTV exposure versus natural conversion rates.
  • Geo-Based Testing – Measuring performance by region, DMA, or test markets.
  • Cross-Device Tracking – Mapping exposure on one screen to conversion on another.

With this setup, advertisers can fine-tune their media plans, creatives, and targeting based on real outcomes—not assumptions.

Predictive ROI Analytics

Beyond attribution, our AI tools forecast which audiences, channels, or creatives are most likely to deliver future results. This helps brands shift from reactive measurement to proactive optimization.

For example, if a specific CTV app consistently drives higher post-exposure actions, our system will recognize that trend and recommend (or automatically increase) bidding on that inventory.

These insights aren’t just useful—they’re actionable, and they help advertisers squeeze more performance from every dollar spent.

Smarter Spending, Better Results

When advertisers have full visibility into what’s working and why, they can invest more confidently. PGAM’s AI-driven attribution gives marketers the tools to:

  • Justify CTV spend with tangible ROI metrics
  • Optimize campaigns in real time based on predictive signals
  • Understand cross-channel behavior from exposure to conversion

CTV is no longer just an upper-funnel awareness channel. With the right attribution tools in place, it’s a measurable, ROI-focused performance driver.